"...Dave Cournoyer isn't some obscure fat frat boy with a sticky-up haircut." - Neil Waugh (Edmonton Sun)
I'm in the midst of doing a bit of analysis into the Alberta results of the October 14, 2008 federal election, but in the meantime, here's a look at the popular vote results over the past 24 years (partially to show off my excel skills and partly to impress my statistician friend).
*Imaged edited since posted.
I can be reached by email at: daveberta.ca@gmail.com.
alberta blogs alain saffel / alberta education / albertosaurus talks /albertaviews blog / alex abboud / andrew mcintyre / atypical albertan / berry patch perspective / better edmonton / big block of cheese / bill given / both barrels / brittney leblanc / calgarygrit / calgary rants / capital notebook / chris labossiere / colby cosh / darryl raymaker / david climenhaga / diversions and happenstance / djkelly.ca / don iveson / earl j. woods / ed-vocate / enlightened savage / five of five / four strong winds / gauntlet.ca / grandinite / idealistic pragmatist / jeremy klaszus / ken chapman / kevin powell / the kory story / medhat blog / mark wells / mastermaq / murgatroyd blog / mike soron/ phendrana drifts / politicalgary / pseudo psyence / pt is my homeboy/ revmod / right on course / river city writer / rob breakenridge / the rurban fringe / six meetings / straight outta edmonton / sue huff / summer's daydreams / terahertz / searching for liberty / the story girl / this is just to say / trevor scott howell / u of a law blog / under the hood / unpopular dissent / voice of grant / who's left and who's leaving
blogs from elsewhere abandoned stuff / born with a tail / bow. james bow. / darren barefoot / david akin / desmogblog / huffington post / idicula.ca / james laxer / john gushue / jordan cooper / the hook / laurence miall / michael geist / partisan hobo / peterborough politics / progressive right / pundits' guide / sean shaw / the first drop / we move to canada / west of the fourth / woman at mile 0
smith v. board of education part 1 / part 2 / part 3 / part 4
alberta and greenpeace claims of political interference / it's about site security / tourists at home and abroad
governing myself accordingly: edstelmach.ca premier stelmach threatens to sue alberta blogger over edstelmach.ca / day 2 / the daveberta conspiracy / day 3 / day 4 / day 10 / day 23
alberta election 2008: constituency profiles calgary-buffalo / calgary-currie / calgary-mccall / calgary-varsity / cardston-taber-warner / edmonton-calder / edmonton-castle downs / edmonton-meadowlark
2007 edmonton municipal election non-race for mayor / ward 1 / ward 2 / ward 3 / ward 4 / ward 5 / ward 6
Posts
15 comments:
I think after a party becomes defunct you need to stop giving them data points (the same with before a party's existence). It makes the Greens look unpopular when they didn't exist.
The Green Party of Canada was created in 1983.
But good point. And edited...
Interesting to note that the trend from "reform" to "conservative" is pretty direct -- and does not seem to include a pick-up of the remaining "Progressive Conservatives" when that party was folded.
Kind of tells you what the new "conservative" party really is.. Refoooorm! with lipstick.
Dan eats excel charts for breakfast, I think. Thanks for graphically representing the long term results, despite them throwing me into a bout of depression.
Your trend line shows why there was so many 2nd place finishes for the NDP this past federal election. Thanks for wanting to impress your friends. good work
The Greens don't seem to dent the combined Lib/NDP support... which seem to bounce back and forth... where is the Green vote coming from, one wonders?
Very impressive.
There is obviously a correlative relation ship between the NDP and Libs and between the PCs and the reform/alliance.
It's obvious, but neat to see it graphed - their respective rises and falls are almost mirror images of each other.
To properly impress your statistician friend you need to change the spelling of "Conserative" in the labels (unless Harper has changed party names again!.
If you had the full 100% on the vote axis (x?) the Liberal vote would look admirably stable. Eventually the red tortoise will win the race. Cough.
Libarbarian: No, Conserative is accurate.
Can you whip this puppy up using raw vote counts as opposed to popular votes, for another angle on the issue?
I AM impressed! It's be fun to look at the PC + Reform vote, and maybe break it into Edm/Cal/Rural.
Am I reading that right? The ReformaTories are not as popular as the Mulroney PCs were back in 1984? Snicker.
I would have thought that was obvious considering the Mulroney PCs won 250 seats in the House... so yes, of course you're right. Snicker. What about superimposing the provincial Tories, Libs and NDP?
All snickering aside, the trends lines show the Liberal "brand" weakening consistently since the 80s. They were saved by the split right in the 90s, but are back to where they started. Hopefully, someone in the party will not be afraid to state that and start a serious discussion. As opposed to the "it was all Dion's fault" argument.
Calgary Grit comes close.
Post a Comment