Friday, April 09, 2010
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"...Dave Cournoyer isn't some obscure fat frat boy with a sticky-up haircut." - Neil Waugh (Edmonton Sun)
this blog has moved to a new address: daveberta.ca
Please update your RSS, bookmarks, and links to http://daveberta.ca.
this blog has moved to a new address: daveberta.ca
Please update your RSS and links to http://daveberta.ca.
Posts
informer.
The opinions expressed on this blog represent my own and not those of my employer or any organization I may be affiliated with.
In addition, my thoughts and opinions change from time to time. I consider this a necessary consequence of having an open mind. This blog is intended to provide a semi-permanent point in time snapshot and manifestation of the various ideas running around my brain, and as such any thoughts and opinions expressed within out-of-date posts may not the same, nor even similar, to those I may hold today.
In addition, my thoughts and opinions change from time to time. I consider this a necessary consequence of having an open mind. This blog is intended to provide a semi-permanent point in time snapshot and manifestation of the various ideas running around my brain, and as such any thoughts and opinions expressed within out-of-date posts may not the same, nor even similar, to those I may hold today.
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blogs.
alberta blogs alain saffel / alberta education / albertosaurus talks /albertaviews blog / alex abboud / andrew mcintyre / atypical albertan / berry patch perspective / better edmonton / big block of cheese / bill given / both barrels / brittney leblanc / calgarygrit / calgary rants / capital notebook / chris labossiere / colby cosh / darryl raymaker / david climenhaga / diversions and happenstance / djkelly.ca / don iveson / earl j. woods / ed-vocate / enlightened savage / five of five / four strong winds / gauntlet.ca / grandinite / idealistic pragmatist / jeremy klaszus / ken chapman / kevin powell / the kory story / medhat blog / mark wells / mastermaq / murgatroyd blog / mike soron/ phendrana drifts / politicalgary / pseudo psyence / pt is my homeboy/ revmod / right on course / river city writer / rob breakenridge / the rurban fringe / six meetings / straight outta edmonton / sue huff / summer's daydreams / terahertz / searching for liberty / the story girl / this is just to say / trevor scott howell / u of a law blog / under the hood / unpopular dissent / voice of grant / who's left and who's leaving
blogs from elsewhere abandoned stuff / born with a tail / bow. james bow. / darren barefoot / david akin / desmogblog / huffington post / idicula.ca / james laxer / john gushue / jordan cooper / the hook / laurence miall / michael geist / partisan hobo / peterborough politics / progressive right / pundits' guide / sean shaw / the first drop / we move to canada / west of the fourth / woman at mile 0
guest contributors.
- jason ragan: progressives versus conservatives.
- shannon sortland: a reasoned defence of rural representation.
- chris henderson: how i became a former john mcain fan.
articles elsewhere.
- oct 1, 2009: the cult of king ralph still spins alberta
- sept 17, 2009: ndp convention puts kibosh on cooperation
- june 4, 2009: who cares about local tv?
- june 1 2009: citizen bloggers
- dec 11, 2008: leadership races of the past
- oct 9, 2008: lots of talk, not a lot of decisions
- july 17, 2008: out-side the 10-second box
- may 1, 2008: energy minister wrong about sierra club support
- feb 21, 2008: no clear winners
- feb 14, 2008: shaking off 1971
- oct 10, 2007: out-of-the-box development
- oct 9, 2007: it's about a plan
- sept 25, 2007: voters shouldn't be afraid to 'go shopping'
more daveberta.
smith v. board of education part 1 / part 2 / part 3 / part 4
alberta and greenpeace claims of political interference / it's about site security / tourists at home and abroad
governing myself accordingly: edstelmach.ca premier stelmach threatens to sue alberta blogger over edstelmach.ca / day 2 / the daveberta conspiracy / day 3 / day 4 / day 10 / day 23
alberta election 2008: constituency profiles calgary-buffalo / calgary-currie / calgary-mccall / calgary-varsity / cardston-taber-warner / edmonton-calder / edmonton-castle downs / edmonton-meadowlark
2007 edmonton municipal election non-race for mayor / ward 1 / ward 2 / ward 3 / ward 4 / ward 5 / ward 6
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18 comments:
Funny. That's good satire. How long you imagine before he writes his memoirs?
Oh Rahim. Good timing.
How many votes do you gander this will swing towards Linda Duncan in the next election? Anyone want to bet that Ryan Hastman is hearing a lot about Rahim at the doors?
Don't joke ::: Ryan Hastman is working hard and is backedup by a strong campaign team. Watch out Linda Duncan ::: Watch out NDP.
Rahim Jaffer might have to move to Ontario to jumpstart his political career, I hear that there might be a by-election in Simcoe-Grey soon enough.
Linda Duncan's seat will be quite safe. I don't even like her as an MP that much and I can say that. A lot of Edmontonians like to have at least one voice of opposition from this province in Ottawa and Strathcona is the natural fit. There will be people from all over coming in to help the Duncan campaign, just like last time.
With the endless reminders of how principled the last Conservative MP from Strathcona was, I would think the CPC's election team might target different seats. It could take a ridiculous amount of time, effort and dollars for them to win this one back. There has to be easier picking elsewhere.
The Conservatives are tough on crime. It's just that crime doesn't seem that tough on Conservatives.
Linda Duncan's election was the result of several factors:
1. A high-quality candidate with some name recognition (due to having run in the previous election)
2. A weak Liberal candidate
3. A large well-directed group of volunteers
4. A lazy campaign by Jaffer
The margin of victory was less than 500 votes.
Only two of these factors are in Duncan's control. We can expect the CPC to devote many more resources to Edmonton-Strathcona in the next election. What the Liberals can dig up remains to be seen.
Duncan could pick up some of the votes that went to the Green Party, since she appeals to the same point of view and has proven she can actually get elected.
Don't forget the power of incumbancy. That's something the CPC had last time, and now Linda Duncan has it.
I don't think it will be a landslide, but I do think if she works for it, Ms Duncan's seat is safe.
Jaffer was elected with between 35% and 40% of the votes in Strathcona; the last election, a significant enough number of Liberal voters switched their vote to Duncan to elect her. It was a choice between a strong NDP candidate and a largely unknown Liberal candidate.
The Liberals should concede Strathcona to the NDP, and concentrate on other constituencies in Edmonton that are presently represented by MPs not a whole lot different from Jaffer (Laurie Hawn and Peter Goldring for example).
First and foremost, the goal is to turf Harper; after that, let's worry about Liberal and NDP numbers.
Earl Wood gives advice to Alberta P.C. Party and the Alberta Premier
http://bit.ly/bGINQu
Ryan Hastman's support comes from the right fringe of the party: Anders, Day, and Doug Main, and yet he bills himself as being centrist.
Uh, really Ryan?
A quick peek at his company website shows that about a third of his clients are evangelical christian groups. Where Rahim was a moderate conservative, Ryan is supported by and aligned with the far right of the CPC.
While Hastman will find support in the suburbs, he won't pick up much support in central Scona, the most populated and progressive portion of the riding.
Regardless, this will still be a close race.
"Earl Wood advice to Ed Stelmach" video to go viral?
http://bit.ly/bGINQu
Testing out a new look for the blog? http://96.30.193.223/
Art: Yep. I should have it transferred over some point this week.
Hastman has been working far harder than Duncan. Where has she been since she won?
I also wouldn't say all of his support comes from the right of the CPC:
http://edmonton.ctv.ca/servlet/an/local/CTVNews/20091114/EDM_door_091114/20091114/?hub=EdmontonHome
Wow. So he went door knocking with Prentice. Still doesn't hide that fact that Ryan is a member of the Tory Far Right.
Yeah, Hastman sure is working hard. Duncan does all the work to get the funding for the local GO community centre, and Hastman poses for the photo op if somehow to take credit for it. Our boy Ryan has learned much from his mentor Mr. Jaffer.
Ryan Hastman: Rahim Jaffer 2.0
What exactly did Duncan do for the Go Centre? In fact, what has she done since she was elected? I'd love to know what she has done with the office since she won it.
Isn't the man who dreamed up the Go project a well known Tory and supporter of Hastman? Doesn't sound like he's too fond of the current MP and her love of Bloc amendments that attack Alberta's economy:
http://www2.canada.com/edmontonjournal/news/letters/story.html?id=b70d1b2f-0376-463b-b764-43edde0a28e5
Duncan worked with the centre to get the application into the government:
http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/723039--critics-cry-foul-at-tory-photo-ops
Your boy Ryan Jaffer sure is a chip off the old block.
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